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AZ-07 House Election Margin of Victory

ActiveMidterms10 outcomesEnds Nov 4, 2026

Democrat 35-40% leads at 32.5%, ahead of Democrat 30-35% (26.0%) and Democrat 45-50% (19.2%).

24h volume: $584
Total volume: $11.7K
Whales: 0
Fresh wallets: 0

Trade on Polymarket ↗

Outcome · 10Chance24hTrade on Polymarket

Democrat 35-40%$1.9K vol32.5%-Buy Yes 32.5¢Buy No 67.5¢

Democrat 30-35%$2.9K vol26.0%−1.5Buy Yes 26.0¢Buy No 74.0¢

Democrat 45-50%$824 vol19.2%+2.6Buy Yes 19.2¢Buy No 80.8¢

Democrat 40-45%$2.5K vol17.5%+11.0Buy Yes 17.5¢Buy No 82.5¢

Democrat 20-25%$1.0K vol12.9%−3.6Buy Yes 12.9¢Buy No 87.1¢

Democrat 25-30%$1.0K vol8.0%+0.5Buy Yes 8.0¢Buy No 92.0¢

Democrat 50%+$453 vol0.50%+0.2Buy Yes 0.5¢Buy No 99.5¢

Democrat 10-20%$334 vol0.15%-Buy Yes 0.1¢Buy No 99.8¢

Democrat 0-10%$382 vol0.15%-Buy Yes 0.1¢Buy No 99.8¢

Republican Wins$405 vol0.15%-Buy Yes 0.1¢Buy No 99.8¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.