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AZ-08 House Election Margin of Victory

ActiveMidterms10 outcomesEnds Nov 4, 2026

Republican 6-9% leads at 24.0%, ahead of Republican 3-6% (22.5%) and Republican 9-12% (18.5%).

24h volume: $504
Total volume: $11.7K
Whales: 0
Fresh wallets: 0

Trade on Polymarket ↗

Outcome · 10Chance24hTrade on Polymarket

Republican 6-9%$1.3K vol24.0%−1.5Buy Yes 24.0¢Buy No 76.0¢

Republican 3-6%$4.8K vol22.5%−1.5Buy Yes 22.5¢Buy No 77.5¢

Republican 9-12%$1.1K vol18.5%-Buy Yes 18.5¢Buy No 81.5¢

Republican 12-15%$296 vol8.0%−0.5Buy Yes 8.0¢Buy No 92.0¢

Republican 15-18%$336 vol6.0%−3.0Buy Yes 6.0¢Buy No 94.0¢

Republican 18-21%$1.1K vol5.8%+0.3Buy Yes 5.8¢Buy No 94.3¢

Democrat 0-3%$254 vol5.0%−0.9Buy Yes 5.0¢Buy No 95.0¢

Republican 21%+$612 vol4.8%−0.4Buy Yes 4.8¢Buy No 95.2¢

Republican 0-3%$420 vol4.2%+2.3Buy Yes 4.2¢Buy No 95.8¢

Democrat 3%+$1.3K vol4.0%−0.9Buy Yes 4.0¢Buy No 96.0¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.