← All markets

AZ-09 House Election Margin of Victory

ActiveMidterms9 outcomesEnds Nov 4, 2026

Republican 15-20% leads at 35.5%, ahead of Republican 20-25% (20.5%) and Republican 10-15% (12.2%).

24h volume
$323
Total volume
$12.3K
Whales
0
Fresh wallets
0
Trade on Polymarket ↗
Outcome · 9Chance24hTrade on Polymarket
Republican 15-20%$2.7K vol35.5%−3.5Buy Yes 35.5¢Buy No 64.5¢
Republican 20-25%$3.7K vol20.5%−3.5Buy Yes 20.5¢Buy No 79.5¢
Republican 10-15%$2.2K vol12.2%+3.9Buy Yes 12.2¢Buy No 87.8¢
Democrat Wins$345 vol6.3%−0.8Buy Yes 6.3¢Buy No 93.7¢
Republican 5-10%$1.5K vol5.4%-Buy Yes 5.4¢Buy No 94.6¢
Republican 35%+$616 vol5.1%-Buy Yes 5.1¢Buy No 94.8¢
Republican 25-30%$528 vol4.6%+0.1Buy Yes 4.6¢Buy No 95.4¢
Republican 30-35%$509 vol4.0%+0.6Buy Yes 4.0¢Buy No 96.0¢
Republican 0-5%$259 vol0.90%−0.4Buy Yes 0.9¢Buy No 99.1¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.