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Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

ClosedWorld11 outcomesEnds Oct 5, 2026
24h volume
$0
Total volume
$1.5M
Whales
7
Fresh wallets
0
View on Polymarket ↗
Outcome · 11Chance24h
Flávio Bolsonaro <5%$229.0K vol · resolved100.0%+64.5
Lula da Silva <5%$277.9K vol · resolved0.0%−50.4
Lula da Silva 5-10%$287.6K vol · resolved0.0%−11.5
Lula da Silva 10-15%$109.4K vol · resolved0.0%−0.3
Lula da Silva 15%+$57.8K vol · resolved0.0%-
Flávio Bolsonaro 5-10%$217.6K vol · resolved0.0%−2.9
Flávio Bolsonaro 10%+$109.3K vol · resolved0.0%−0.3
Renan Santos Victory$223.2K vol · resolved0.0%-
Tarcisio de Freitas Victory$10.7K vol · resolved0.0%-
Ratinho Júnior Victory$10.1K vol · resolved0.0%-
Other$12.0K vol · resolved0.0%-

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.