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CA-01 House Election Margin of Victory

ActiveMidterms8 outcomesEnds Nov 3, 2026

Democrat 25-30% leads at 39.0%, ahead of Democrat 10-15% (39.0%) and Democrat 5-10% (39.0%).

24h volume
$0
Total volume
$77
Whales
0
Fresh wallets
0
Trade on Polymarket ↗
Outcome · 8Chance24hTrade on Polymarket
Democrat 25-30%39.0%+1.5Buy Yes 39.0¢Buy No 61.0¢
Democrat 10-15%39.0%+0.5Buy Yes 39.0¢Buy No 61.0¢
Democrat 5-10%39.0%+0.5Buy Yes 39.0¢Buy No 61.0¢
Democrat 30%+38.0%+0.5Buy Yes 38.0¢Buy No 62.0¢
Democrat 20-25%38.0%−0.5Buy Yes 38.0¢Buy No 62.0¢
Democrat 15-20%38.0%−0.5Buy Yes 38.0¢Buy No 62.0¢
Democrat 0-5%38.0%-Buy Yes 38.0¢Buy No 62.0¢
Republican Wins$77 vol32.1%−1.4Buy Yes 32.1¢Buy No 67.9¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.