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CA-02 House Election Margin of Victory

ActiveMidterms10 outcomesEnds Nov 3, 2026

Democrat 20-25% leads at 38.5%, ahead of Democrat 30-35% (35.0%) and Democrat 5-15% (35.0%).

24h volume: $116
Total volume: $303
Whales: 0
Fresh wallets: 0

Trade on Polymarket ↗

Outcome · 10Chance24hTrade on Polymarket

Democrat 20-25%38.5%+1.0Buy Yes 38.5¢Buy No 61.5¢

Democrat 30-35%35.0%−3.0Buy Yes 35.0¢Buy No 65.0¢

Democrat 5-15%35.0%−2.5Buy Yes 35.0¢Buy No 65.0¢

Democrat 40-45%34.5%−3.5Buy Yes 34.5¢Buy No 65.5¢

Democrat 15-20%33.5%−5.0Buy Yes 33.5¢Buy No 66.5¢

Democrat 25-30%33.0%−4.5Buy Yes 33.0¢Buy No 67.0¢

Democrat 45%+32.5%−5.0Buy Yes 32.5¢Buy No 67.5¢

Democrat 35-40%32.5%−5.0Buy Yes 32.5¢Buy No 67.5¢

Democrat 0-5%$232 vol31.5%+19.0Buy Yes 31.5¢Buy No 68.5¢

Republican Wins$71 vol24.0%−13.0Buy Yes 24.0¢Buy No 76.0¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.