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CA-03 House Election Margin of Victory

ActiveMidterms8 outcomesEnds Nov 3, 2026

Democrat 25-30% leads at 38.6%, ahead of Democrat 10-15% (38.4%) and Republican Wins (37.6%).

24h volume: $0
Total volume: $1.8K
Whales: 0
Fresh wallets: 0

Trade on Polymarket ↗

Outcome · 8Chance24hTrade on Polymarket

Democrat 25-30%$50 vol38.6%+1.0Buy Yes 38.6¢Buy No 61.4¢

Democrat 10-15%$50 vol38.4%-Buy Yes 38.4¢Buy No 61.6¢

Republican Wins$127 vol37.6%+0.6Buy Yes 37.6¢Buy No 62.4¢

Democrat 5-10%$50 vol31.1%−7.3Buy Yes 31.1¢Buy No 68.9¢

Democrat 20-25%$498 vol28.9%−0.4Buy Yes 28.9¢Buy No 71.1¢

Democrat 30%+$506 vol27.8%+13.2Buy Yes 27.8¢Buy No 72.2¢

Democrat 15-20%$80 vol25.4%−11.8Buy Yes 25.4¢Buy No 74.5¢

Democrat 0-5%$414 vol1.9%−0.1Buy Yes 1.9¢Buy No 98.0¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.