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CA-05 House Election Margin of Victory

ActiveMidterms9 outcomesEnds Nov 3, 2026

Republican 25-30% leads at 39.0%, ahead of Republican 15-20% (38.5%) and Republican 35%+ (37.5%).

24h volume
$0
Total volume
$467
Whales
0
Fresh wallets
0
Trade on Polymarket ↗
Outcome · 9Chance24hTrade on Polymarket
Republican 25-30%39.0%+1.0Buy Yes 39.0¢Buy No 61.0¢
Republican 15-20%38.5%−1.0Buy Yes 38.5¢Buy No 61.5¢
Republican 35%+$200 vol37.5%−0.5Buy Yes 37.5¢Buy No 62.5¢
Republican 10-15%37.5%−0.5Buy Yes 37.5¢Buy No 62.5¢
Republican 30-35%$207 vol36.0%−2.0Buy Yes 36.0¢Buy No 64.0¢
Republican 5-10%35.5%−2.0Buy Yes 35.5¢Buy No 64.5¢
Republican 20-25%35.0%−3.0Buy Yes 35.0¢Buy No 65.0¢
Republican 0-5%35.0%−3.0Buy Yes 35.0¢Buy No 65.0¢
Democrat Wins$60 vol15.7%+0.1Buy Yes 15.7¢Buy No 84.3¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.