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CA-06 House Election Margin of Victory

ActiveMidterms8 outcomesEnds Nov 3, 2026

Democrat 10-15% leads at 39.0%, ahead of Democrat 20-25% (38.5%) and Democrat 5-10% (38.5%).

24h volume: $0
Total volume: $172
Whales: 0
Fresh wallets: 0

Trade on Polymarket ↗

Outcome · 8Chance24hTrade on Polymarket

Democrat 10-15%39.0%+0.5Buy Yes 39.0¢Buy No 61.0¢

Democrat 20-25%38.5%-Buy Yes 38.5¢Buy No 61.5¢

Democrat 5-10%38.5%+1.0Buy Yes 38.5¢Buy No 61.5¢

Republican 5%+$73 vol38.4%+0.5Buy Yes 38.4¢Buy No 61.6¢

Democrat 0-5%38.0%-Buy Yes 38.0¢Buy No 62.0¢

Democrat 25%+37.5%-Buy Yes 37.5¢Buy No 62.5¢

Democrat 15-20%37.5%-Buy Yes 37.5¢Buy No 62.5¢

Republican 0-5%$99 vol29.4%−7.8Buy Yes 29.4¢Buy No 70.6¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.