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CA-08 House Election Margin of Victory

ActiveMidterms10 outcomesEnds Nov 3, 2026

Democrat 50-55% leads at 38.6%, ahead of Democrat 25-30% (38.6%) and Democrat 55%+ (38.3%).

24h volume: $0
Total volume: $3.4K
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Trade on Polymarket ↗

Outcome · 10Chance24hTrade on Polymarket

Democrat 50-55%$314 vol38.6%+1.1Buy Yes 38.6¢Buy No 61.4¢

Democrat 25-30%$344 vol38.6%+0.4Buy Yes 38.6¢Buy No 61.4¢

Democrat 55%+$344 vol38.3%+0.1Buy Yes 38.3¢Buy No 61.8¢

Democrat 30-35%$344 vol38.1%+0.6Buy Yes 38.1¢Buy No 61.9¢

Democrat 15-25%$314 vol36.6%+6.0Buy Yes 36.6¢Buy No 63.4¢

Democrat 45-50%$318 vol29.3%−5.0Buy Yes 29.3¢Buy No 70.7¢

Democrat 40-45%$314 vol25.7%−1.6Buy Yes 25.7¢Buy No 74.3¢

Democrat 0-15%$394 vol24.0%−5.3Buy Yes 24.0¢Buy No 76.0¢

Republican Wins$304 vol22.7%−13.9Buy Yes 22.7¢Buy No 77.3¢

Democrat 35-40%$394 vol9.9%+1.5Buy Yes 9.9¢Buy No 90.1¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.