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CA-09 House Election Margin of Victory

ActiveMidterms8 outcomesEnds Nov 3, 2026

Democrat 30%+ leads at 38.0%, ahead of Democrat 5-10% (38.0%) and Democrat 15-20% (37.0%).

24h volume: $0
Total volume: $55
Whales: 0
Fresh wallets: 0

Trade on Polymarket ↗

Outcome · 8Chance24hTrade on Polymarket

Democrat 30%+38.0%−0.5Buy Yes 38.0¢Buy No 62.0¢

Democrat 5-10%38.0%−0.5Buy Yes 38.0¢Buy No 62.0¢

Democrat 15-20%37.0%−2.5Buy Yes 37.0¢Buy No 63.0¢

Democrat 25-30%36.5%−2.0Buy Yes 36.5¢Buy No 63.5¢

Democrat 20-25%34.5%−4.0Buy Yes 34.5¢Buy No 65.5¢

Democrat 10-15%34.5%−4.0Buy Yes 34.5¢Buy No 65.5¢

Democrat 0-5%34.5%−3.0Buy Yes 34.5¢Buy No 65.5¢

Republican Wins$55 vol32.5%−4.5Buy Yes 32.5¢Buy No 67.5¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.