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CA-10 House Election Margin of Victory

ActiveMidterms10 outcomesEnds Nov 3, 2026

Democrat 0-15% leads at 37.5%, ahead of Democrat 50-55% (37.0%) and Democrat 35-40% (37.0%).

24h volume: $200
Total volume: $482
Whales: 0
Fresh wallets: 0

Trade on Polymarket ↗

Outcome · 10Chance24hTrade on Polymarket

Democrat 0-15%$400 vol37.5%+29.0Buy Yes 37.5¢Buy No 62.5¢

Democrat 50-55%37.0%−0.5Buy Yes 37.0¢Buy No 63.0¢

Democrat 35-40%37.0%−0.5Buy Yes 37.0¢Buy No 63.0¢

Democrat 40-45%36.5%−2.0Buy Yes 36.5¢Buy No 63.5¢

Democrat 30-35%36.5%−1.0Buy Yes 36.5¢Buy No 63.5¢

Democrat 45-50%33.5%−4.0Buy Yes 33.5¢Buy No 66.5¢

Democrat 25-30%33.5%−4.0Buy Yes 33.5¢Buy No 66.5¢

Democrat 15-25%33.5%−4.5Buy Yes 33.5¢Buy No 66.5¢

Democrat 55%+33.0%−4.5Buy Yes 33.0¢Buy No 67.0¢

Republican Wins$82 vol6.3%−32.8Buy Yes 6.3¢Buy No 93.7¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.