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CA-15 House Election Margin of Victory

ActiveMidterms10 outcomesEnds Nov 3, 2026

Democrat 25-35% leads at 38.5%, ahead of Democrat 65%+ (38.0%) and Democrat 50-55% (38.0%).

24h volume: $0
Total volume: $148
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Trade on Polymarket ↗

Outcome · 10Chance24hTrade on Polymarket

Democrat 25-35%38.5%+1.0Buy Yes 38.5¢Buy No 61.5¢

Democrat 65%+38.0%+0.5Buy Yes 38.0¢Buy No 62.0¢

Democrat 50-55%38.0%+0.5Buy Yes 38.0¢Buy No 62.0¢

Democrat 40-45%38.0%+0.5Buy Yes 38.0¢Buy No 62.0¢

Democrat 35-40%38.0%+0.5Buy Yes 38.0¢Buy No 62.0¢

Democrat 60-65%37.5%−1.0Buy Yes 37.5¢Buy No 62.5¢

Democrat 55-60%37.5%-Buy Yes 37.5¢Buy No 62.5¢

Democrat 45-50%37.5%-Buy Yes 37.5¢Buy No 62.5¢

Republican Wins$86 vol29.0%−8.1Buy Yes 29.0¢Buy No 71.0¢

Democrat 0-25%$62 vol8.0%-Buy Yes 8.0¢Buy No 92.0¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.