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CA-16 House Election Margin of Victory

ActiveMidterms10 outcomesEnds Nov 3, 2026

Democrat 60-65% leads at 39.0%, ahead of Democrat 45-50% (39.0%) and Democrat 55-60% (38.0%).

24h volume: $0
Total volume: $581
Whales: 0
Fresh wallets: 0

Trade on Polymarket ↗

Outcome · 10Chance24hTrade on Polymarket

Democrat 60-65%$30 vol39.0%+1.0Buy Yes 39.0¢Buy No 61.0¢

Democrat 45-50%$30 vol39.0%−0.5Buy Yes 39.0¢Buy No 61.0¢

Democrat 55-60%$30 vol38.0%-Buy Yes 38.0¢Buy No 62.0¢

Democrat 50-55%38.0%+0.5Buy Yes 38.0¢Buy No 62.0¢

Democrat 65%+$30 vol37.5%−0.5Buy Yes 37.5¢Buy No 62.5¢

Democrat 40-45%$30 vol37.5%-Buy Yes 37.5¢Buy No 62.5¢

Democrat 25-35%$30 vol37.5%-Buy Yes 37.5¢Buy No 62.5¢

Democrat 35-40%$30 vol37.0%−0.5Buy Yes 37.0¢Buy No 63.0¢

Republican Wins$175 vol19.0%+1.5Buy Yes 19.0¢Buy No 81.0¢

Democrat 0-25%$196 vol5.3%−2.3Buy Yes 5.3¢Buy No 94.7¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.