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CA-19 House Election Margin of Victory

ActiveMidterms10 outcomesEnds Nov 3, 2026

Democrat 40-45% leads at 36.0%, ahead of Democrat 45-50% (35.5%) and Democrat 35-40% (35.5%).

24h volume
$0
Total volume
$61
Whales
0
Fresh wallets
0
Trade on Polymarket ↗
Outcome · 10Chance24hTrade on Polymarket
Democrat 40-45%36.0%−1.5Buy Yes 36.0¢Buy No 64.0¢
Democrat 45-50%35.5%−2.0Buy Yes 35.5¢Buy No 64.5¢
Democrat 35-40%35.5%−2.5Buy Yes 35.5¢Buy No 64.5¢
Democrat 10-20%35.5%−2.0Buy Yes 35.5¢Buy No 64.5¢
Democrat 25-30%35.0%−2.5Buy Yes 35.0¢Buy No 65.0¢
Democrat 0-10%34.5%−3.0Buy Yes 34.5¢Buy No 65.5¢
Democrat 50%+34.0%−3.5Buy Yes 34.0¢Buy No 66.0¢
Democrat 30-35%32.5%−5.0Buy Yes 32.5¢Buy No 67.5¢
Democrat 20-25%32.5%−5.0Buy Yes 32.5¢Buy No 67.5¢
Republican Wins$61 vol29.8%−7.4Buy Yes 29.8¢Buy No 70.2¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.