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CA-21 House Election Margin of Victory

ActiveMidterms8 outcomesEnds Nov 3, 2026

Democrat 20-25% leads at 38.5%, ahead of Democrat 15-20% (38.5%) and Democrat 10-15% (38.5%).

24h volume
$0
Total volume
$161
Whales
0
Fresh wallets
0
Trade on Polymarket ↗
Outcome · 8Chance24hTrade on Polymarket
Democrat 20-25%38.5%+1.0Buy Yes 38.5¢Buy No 61.5¢
Democrat 15-20%38.5%+1.0Buy Yes 38.5¢Buy No 61.5¢
Democrat 10-15%38.5%+1.5Buy Yes 38.5¢Buy No 61.5¢
Democrat 5-10%38.5%-Buy Yes 38.5¢Buy No 61.5¢
Democrat 0-5%38.5%-Buy Yes 38.5¢Buy No 61.5¢
Democrat 25%+37.5%-Buy Yes 37.5¢Buy No 62.5¢
Republican 0-5%$50 vol30.5%−7.0Buy Yes 30.5¢Buy No 69.5¢
Republican 5%+$111 vol18.0%+0.5Buy Yes 18.0¢Buy No 82.0¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.