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CA-22 House Election Margin of Victory

ActiveMidterms10 outcomesEnds Nov 3, 2026

Democrat 3-6% leads at 38.5%, ahead of Democrat 0-3% (38.1%) and Republican 0-3% (38.1%).

24h volume
$0
Total volume
$576
Whales
0
Fresh wallets
0
Trade on Polymarket ↗
Outcome · 10Chance24hTrade on Polymarket
Democrat 3-6%$50 vol38.5%+0.3Buy Yes 38.5¢Buy No 61.5¢
Democrat 0-3%$50 vol38.1%−0.1Buy Yes 38.1¢Buy No 61.9¢
Republican 0-3%38.1%+0.7Buy Yes 38.1¢Buy No 61.9¢
Democrat 18%+$50 vol38.1%−0.3Buy Yes 38.1¢Buy No 61.9¢
Democrat 15-18%$50 vol38.1%−0.1Buy Yes 38.1¢Buy No 61.9¢
Democrat 12-15%$50 vol38.1%+0.3Buy Yes 38.1¢Buy No 61.9¢
Democrat 9-12%38.1%+0.5Buy Yes 38.1¢Buy No 61.9¢
Republican 3-6%$50 vol37.9%−0.4Buy Yes 37.9¢Buy No 62.1¢
Republican 6%+$50 vol37.5%−0.9Buy Yes 37.5¢Buy No 62.5¢
Democrat 6-9%$226 vol19.5%−11.7Buy Yes 19.5¢Buy No 80.5¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.