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CA-24 House Election Margin of Victory

ActiveMidterms10 outcomesEnds Nov 3, 2026

Democrat 5-15% leads at 39.5%, ahead of Democrat 40-45% (39.0%) and Democrat 25-30% (38.0%).

24h volume
$0
Total volume
$252
Whales
0
Fresh wallets
0
Trade on Polymarket ↗
Outcome · 10Chance24hTrade on Polymarket
Democrat 5-15%$20 vol39.5%-Buy Yes 39.5¢Buy No 60.5¢
Democrat 40-45%$20 vol39.0%+1.5Buy Yes 39.0¢Buy No 61.0¢
Democrat 25-30%$20 vol38.0%+0.5Buy Yes 38.0¢Buy No 62.0¢
Democrat 20-25%$20 vol38.0%+0.5Buy Yes 38.0¢Buy No 62.0¢
Democrat 15-20%$20 vol38.0%+0.5Buy Yes 38.0¢Buy No 62.0¢
Democrat 45%+$10 vol37.5%-Buy Yes 37.5¢Buy No 62.5¢
Democrat 35-40%$20 vol37.5%-Buy Yes 37.5¢Buy No 62.5¢
Democrat 30-35%$20 vol37.5%-Buy Yes 37.5¢Buy No 62.5¢
Democrat 0-5%$10 vol37.5%-Buy Yes 37.5¢Buy No 62.5¢
Republican Wins$92 vol31.2%−7.8Buy Yes 31.2¢Buy No 68.8¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.