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CA-27 House Election Margin of Victory

ActiveMidterms8 outcomesEnds Nov 3, 2026

Democrat 10-15% leads at 39.5%, ahead of Democrat 30%+ (37.5%) and Democrat 25-30% (37.5%).

24h volume
$0
Total volume
$430
Whales
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Fresh wallets
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Trade on Polymarket ↗
Outcome · 8Chance24hTrade on Polymarket
Democrat 10-15%39.5%-Buy Yes 39.5¢Buy No 60.5¢
Democrat 30%+37.5%−2.0Buy Yes 37.5¢Buy No 62.5¢
Democrat 25-30%37.5%−1.0Buy Yes 37.5¢Buy No 62.5¢
Democrat 20-25%37.5%−0.5Buy Yes 37.5¢Buy No 62.5¢
Democrat 15-20%37.5%-Buy Yes 37.5¢Buy No 62.5¢
Democrat 5-10%37.5%−1.0Buy Yes 37.5¢Buy No 62.5¢
Republican Wins$115 vol37.0%+2.5Buy Yes 37.0¢Buy No 63.0¢
Democrat 0-5%$315 vol5.5%−1.5Buy Yes 5.5¢Buy No 94.5¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.