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CA-28 House Election Margin of Victory

ActiveMidterms10 outcomesEnds Nov 3, 2026

Democrat 0-5% leads at 34.5%, ahead of Democrat 45%+ (33.5%) and Democrat 35-40% (33.5%).

24h volume
$0
Total volume
$50
Whales
0
Fresh wallets
0
Trade on Polymarket ↗
Outcome · 10Chance24hTrade on Polymarket
Democrat 0-5%34.5%−3.5Buy Yes 34.5¢Buy No 65.5¢
Democrat 45%+33.5%−4.0Buy Yes 33.5¢Buy No 66.5¢
Democrat 35-40%33.5%−4.0Buy Yes 33.5¢Buy No 66.5¢
Democrat 20-25%33.5%−4.0Buy Yes 33.5¢Buy No 66.5¢
Democrat 5-15%33.5%−4.0Buy Yes 33.5¢Buy No 66.5¢
Democrat 15-20%33.0%−5.0Buy Yes 33.0¢Buy No 67.0¢
Democrat 30-35%32.5%−5.0Buy Yes 32.5¢Buy No 67.5¢
Democrat 40-45%31.5%−6.0Buy Yes 31.5¢Buy No 68.5¢
Democrat 25-30%31.5%−6.5Buy Yes 31.5¢Buy No 68.5¢
Republican Wins$50 vol26.8%−11.2Buy Yes 26.8¢Buy No 73.2¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.