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CA-33 House Election Margin of Victory

ActiveMidterms8 outcomesEnds Nov 3, 2026

Democrat 25-30% leads at 39.5%, ahead of Democrat 0-5% (38.5%) and Democrat 30%+ (37.5%).

24h volume
$0
Total volume
$50
Whales
0
Fresh wallets
0
Trade on Polymarket ↗
Outcome · 8Chance24hTrade on Polymarket
Democrat 25-30%39.5%-Buy Yes 39.5¢Buy No 60.5¢
Democrat 0-5%38.5%−1.0Buy Yes 38.5¢Buy No 61.5¢
Democrat 30%+37.5%−1.0Buy Yes 37.5¢Buy No 62.5¢
Democrat 20-25%37.5%−1.0Buy Yes 37.5¢Buy No 62.5¢
Democrat 15-20%37.5%−1.0Buy Yes 37.5¢Buy No 62.5¢
Democrat 10-15%37.5%−1.0Buy Yes 37.5¢Buy No 62.5¢
Democrat 5-10%37.5%-Buy Yes 37.5¢Buy No 62.5¢
Republican Wins$50 vol8.5%-Buy Yes 8.5¢Buy No 91.5¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.