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CA-36 House Election Margin of Victory

ActiveMidterms10 outcomesEnds Nov 3, 2026

Democrat 25-30% leads at 36.0%, ahead of Democrat 50-55% (35.0%) and Democrat 15-25% (35.0%).

24h volume
$40
Total volume
$259
Whales
0
Fresh wallets
0
Trade on Polymarket ↗
Outcome · 10Chance24hTrade on Polymarket
Democrat 25-30%36.0%−1.5Buy Yes 36.0¢Buy No 64.0¢
Democrat 50-55%35.0%−3.0Buy Yes 35.0¢Buy No 65.0¢
Democrat 15-25%35.0%−2.5Buy Yes 35.0¢Buy No 65.0¢
Democrat 40-45%34.5%−3.5Buy Yes 34.5¢Buy No 65.5¢
Democrat 55%+34.0%−4.0Buy Yes 34.0¢Buy No 66.0¢
Democrat 45-50%34.0%−4.0Buy Yes 34.0¢Buy No 66.0¢
Democrat 30-35%34.0%−4.0Buy Yes 34.0¢Buy No 66.0¢
Democrat 35-40%32.0%−5.5Buy Yes 32.0¢Buy No 68.0¢
Republican Wins$185 vol31.5%−10.0Buy Yes 31.5¢Buy No 68.5¢
Democrat 0-15%$74 vol6.5%−1.0Buy Yes 6.5¢Buy No 93.5¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.