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CA-38 House Election Margin of Victory

ActiveMidterms8 outcomesEnds Nov 3, 2026

Democrat 15-20% leads at 40.0%, ahead of Democrat 20-25% (39.0%) and Democrat 5-10% (38.5%).

24h volume: $0
Total volume: $289
Whales: 0
Fresh wallets: 0

Trade on Polymarket ↗

Outcome · 8Chance24hTrade on Polymarket

Democrat 15-20%40.0%+2.0Buy Yes 40.0¢Buy No 60.0¢

Democrat 20-25%39.0%+0.5Buy Yes 39.0¢Buy No 61.0¢

Democrat 5-10%38.5%-Buy Yes 38.5¢Buy No 61.5¢

Democrat 30%+38.0%+0.5Buy Yes 38.0¢Buy No 62.0¢

Democrat 25-30%38.0%−0.5Buy Yes 38.0¢Buy No 62.0¢

Democrat 10-15%38.0%+0.5Buy Yes 38.0¢Buy No 62.0¢

Democrat 0-5%38.0%+1.0Buy Yes 38.0¢Buy No 62.0¢

Republican Wins$289 vol3.3%+0.1Buy Yes 3.3¢Buy No 96.7¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.