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CA-41 House Election Margin of Victory

ActiveMidterms8 outcomesEnds Nov 3, 2026

Democrat 0-5% leads at 39.5%, ahead of Democrat 25-30% (38.0%) and Democrat 15-20% (37.5%).

24h volume
$0
Total volume
$16
Whales
0
Fresh wallets
0
Trade on Polymarket ↗
Outcome · 8Chance24hTrade on Polymarket
Democrat 0-5%39.5%-Buy Yes 39.5¢Buy No 60.5¢
Democrat 25-30%38.0%-Buy Yes 38.0¢Buy No 62.0¢
Democrat 15-20%37.5%+0.5Buy Yes 37.5¢Buy No 62.5¢
Democrat 20-25%36.5%−1.0Buy Yes 36.5¢Buy No 63.5¢
Democrat 10-15%36.5%−0.5Buy Yes 36.5¢Buy No 63.5¢
Democrat 30%+36.0%−1.0Buy Yes 36.0¢Buy No 64.0¢
Democrat 5-10%36.0%−1.5Buy Yes 36.0¢Buy No 64.0¢
Republican Wins$16 vol6.0%−0.6Buy Yes 6.0¢Buy No 94.0¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.