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CA-43 House Election Margin of Victory

ActiveMidterms10 outcomesEnds Nov 3, 2026

Democrat 65%+ leads at 37.5%, ahead of Democrat 40-45% (37.0%) and Democrat 0-25% (37.0%).

24h volume
$0
Total volume
$141
Whales
0
Fresh wallets
0
Trade on Polymarket ↗
Outcome · 10Chance24hTrade on Polymarket
Democrat 65%+37.5%−0.5Buy Yes 37.5¢Buy No 62.5¢
Democrat 40-45%37.0%−0.5Buy Yes 37.0¢Buy No 63.0¢
Democrat 0-25%37.0%−1.0Buy Yes 37.0¢Buy No 63.0¢
Democrat 50-55%36.5%−1.0Buy Yes 36.5¢Buy No 63.5¢
Democrat 60-65%35.0%−2.5Buy Yes 35.0¢Buy No 65.0¢
Democrat 45-50%35.0%−2.5Buy Yes 35.0¢Buy No 65.0¢
Democrat 25-35%35.0%−2.5Buy Yes 35.0¢Buy No 65.0¢
Democrat 55-60%34.0%−3.5Buy Yes 34.0¢Buy No 66.0¢
Republican Wins$78 vol33.1%−4.3Buy Yes 33.1¢Buy No 66.9¢
Democrat 35-40%$63 vol6.0%-Buy Yes 6.0¢Buy No 94.0¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.