← All markets

CA-44 House Election Margin of Victory

ActiveMidterms10 outcomesEnds Nov 3, 2026

Democrat 55%+ leads at 39.0%, ahead of Democrat 50-55% (39.0%) and Democrat 30-35% (37.5%).

24h volume
$0
Total volume
$92
Whales
0
Fresh wallets
0
Trade on Polymarket ↗
Outcome · 10Chance24hTrade on Polymarket
Democrat 55%+39.0%+1.0Buy Yes 39.0¢Buy No 61.0¢
Democrat 50-55%39.0%+1.5Buy Yes 39.0¢Buy No 61.0¢
Democrat 30-35%37.5%−0.5Buy Yes 37.5¢Buy No 62.5¢
Democrat 45-50%37.0%−1.0Buy Yes 37.0¢Buy No 63.0¢
Democrat 35-40%35.5%−2.0Buy Yes 35.5¢Buy No 64.5¢
Democrat 0-15%35.0%−2.5Buy Yes 35.0¢Buy No 65.0¢
Democrat 40-45%34.5%−3.0Buy Yes 34.5¢Buy No 65.5¢
Democrat 25-30%34.5%−3.0Buy Yes 34.5¢Buy No 65.5¢
Democrat 15-25%33.5%−4.0Buy Yes 33.5¢Buy No 66.5¢
Republican Wins$92 vol19.4%−1.0Buy Yes 19.4¢Buy No 80.7¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.