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CA-45 House Election Margin of Victory

ActiveMidterms8 outcomesEnds Nov 3, 2026

Democrat 25%+ leads at 38.5%, ahead of Democrat 15-20% (38.0%) and Democrat 5-10% (38.0%).

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Total volume: $0
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Trade on Polymarket ↗

Outcome · 8Chance24hTrade on Polymarket

Democrat 25%+38.5%−1.0Buy Yes 38.5¢Buy No 61.5¢

Democrat 15-20%38.0%-Buy Yes 38.0¢Buy No 62.0¢

Democrat 5-10%38.0%+0.5Buy Yes 38.0¢Buy No 62.0¢

Republican 0-5%38.0%-Buy Yes 38.0¢Buy No 62.0¢

Democrat 0-5%37.5%−0.5Buy Yes 37.5¢Buy No 62.5¢

Democrat 20-25%37.0%−0.5Buy Yes 37.0¢Buy No 63.0¢

Democrat 10-15%36.5%−1.0Buy Yes 36.5¢Buy No 63.5¢

Republican 5%+34.0%−4.0Buy Yes 34.0¢Buy No 66.0¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.