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CA-49 House Election Margin of Victory

ActiveMidterms8 outcomesEnds Nov 3, 2026

Democrat 20-25% leads at 35.9%, ahead of Democrat 5-10% (31.9%) and Democrat 25-30% (31.4%).

24h volume: $0
Total volume: $1.7K
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Trade on Polymarket ↗

Outcome · 8Chance24hTrade on Polymarket

Democrat 20-25%$120 vol35.9%−1.4Buy Yes 35.9¢Buy No 64.1¢

Democrat 5-10%$92 vol31.9%−1.0Buy Yes 31.9¢Buy No 68.0¢

Democrat 25-30%$915 vol31.4%−3.8Buy Yes 31.4¢Buy No 68.6¢

Democrat 15-20%$127 vol31.1%−6.3Buy Yes 31.1¢Buy No 68.9¢

Republican Wins$124 vol31.0%−4.0Buy Yes 31.0¢Buy No 69.0¢

Democrat 0-5%$103 vol30.6%−5.0Buy Yes 30.6¢Buy No 69.4¢

Democrat 30%+$86 vol29.9%−9.8Buy Yes 29.9¢Buy No 70.0¢

Democrat 10-15%$93 vol27.3%−10.3Buy Yes 27.3¢Buy No 72.7¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.