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CA-51 House Election Margin of Victory

ActiveMidterms9 outcomesEnds Nov 3, 2026

Democrat 15-20% leads at 34.5%, ahead of Democrat 40%+ (34.0%) and Democrat 35-40% (34.0%).

24h volume: $0
Total volume: $79
Whales: 0
Fresh wallets: 0

Trade on Polymarket ↗

Outcome · 9Chance24hTrade on Polymarket

Democrat 15-20%34.5%−3.0Buy Yes 34.5¢Buy No 65.5¢

Democrat 40%+34.0%−3.5Buy Yes 34.0¢Buy No 66.0¢

Democrat 35-40%34.0%−4.0Buy Yes 34.0¢Buy No 66.0¢

Democrat 30-35%33.5%−4.0Buy Yes 33.5¢Buy No 66.5¢

Democrat 20-25%33.0%−4.5Buy Yes 33.0¢Buy No 67.0¢

Democrat 10-15%32.5%−5.0Buy Yes 32.5¢Buy No 67.5¢

Democrat 0-10%32.0%−6.0Buy Yes 32.0¢Buy No 68.0¢

Democrat 25-30%30.5%−7.0Buy Yes 30.5¢Buy No 69.5¢

Republican Wins$79 vol6.0%+1.5Buy Yes 6.0¢Buy No 94.0¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.