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Polymarket Politics Odds – Page 4
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Politics
Elections
Geopolitics
Sports
Soccer
NBA
NFL
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Tech & AI
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24h volume
Total
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Ends
Wisconsin Governor Election Winner
David Crowley (D)
80%
2 outcomes
1
0
$736
$719.0K
Nov 4, 26
Texas enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2028
25%
4 outcomes
12
0
$0
$716.9K
Jan 1, 29
How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?
22–23
31%
7 outcomes
0
0
$167
$705.6K
Nov 4, 26
Elon Musk # tweets October 13 - October 20, 2026?
Heating up
360-379
17%
26 outcomes
1
0
$188.0K
$697.7K
Oct 20, 26
Louisiana enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2028
21%
4 outcomes
6
0
$1.4K
$693.5K
Jan 1, 29
Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?
Germany
14%
26 outcomes
1
0
$106
$681.3K
Jan 1, 27
Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner
Lebanese Forces (LF)
0%
23 outcomes
0
0
$0
$677.8K
May 11, 26
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
Yes
99%
Politics
3
0
$1.0K
$665.9K
Jan 1, 27
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?
December 31
7%
6 outcomes
0
0
$0
$663.1K
Jan 1, 27
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by...?
December 31
8%
3 outcomes
0
0
$10
$657.8K
Jan 1, 27
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?
Heating up
No Hormuz Agreement
94%
3 outcomes
7
0
$221.7K
$655.9K
Nov 4, 26
Erdoğan out by...?
December 31, 2027
16%
2 outcomes
0
0
$76
$649.3K
Dec 31, 27
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
No
97%
Reza Pahlavi
0
0
$0
$642.3K
Jan 1, 27
Houthis enter Aden by...?
December 31
26%
5 outcomes
4
1
$4.3K
$641.7K
Jan 1, 27
Venezuela presidential election scheduled by...?
December 31
11%
3 outcomes
0
0
$18
$637.5K
Jan 1, 27
Nebraska Senate Election Winner
Pete Ricketts (R)
73%
3 outcomes
5
0
$3.1K
$623.6K
Nov 4, 26
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
No
90%
Iran
0
0
$8.1K
$613.5K
Jan 1, 27
Will Russia invade another country by...?
December 31, 2027
19%
2 outcomes
2
0
$301
$607.3K
Jan 1, 28
SAVE Act becomes law by...?
December 31
5%
4 outcomes
0
0
$1.4K
$576.5K
Jan 1, 27
Ohio enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2028
27%
4 outcomes
10
0
$224
$576.4K
Jan 1, 29
Texas Governor Election Winner
Greg Abbott (R)
77%
2 outcomes
4
2
$10.6K
$573.7K
Nov 4, 26
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
No
95%
Politics
0
0
$396
$563.4K
Jan 1, 27
Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?
December 31, 2026
8%
4 outcomes
0
0
$0
$562.5K
Jan 1, 27
Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?
No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026
89%
7 outcomes
0
0
$2.2K
$560.0K
Feb 1, 27
2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
94%
46 outcomes
0
0
$4.7K
$558.1K
Jul 1, 27
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
No
69%
Politics
3
0
$630
$548.8K
Aug 1, 27
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
No
98%
Trump
0
0
$5
$545.4K
Jan 1, 27
US military draft authorized in 2026?
No
96%
Politics
0
0
$0
$544.3K
Jan 1, 27
Lima Mayoral Election Winner
Rafael López Aliaga
88%
23 outcomes
2
0
$101
$543.0K
Oct 5, 26
Will Israel annex any territory by...?
December 31, 2026
4%
3 outcomes
0
0
$127
$536.1K
Jan 1, 27
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?
December 31
6%
5 outcomes
0
0
$0
$533.6K
Jan 1, 27
Israel Election: Likud # of seats?
20-24
44%
5 outcomes
4
0
$7.2K
$529.5K
Oct 28, 26
Tim Walz charged by...?
Before 2027
2%
2 outcomes
0
0
$0
$525.2K
Jan 1, 27
Who will Trump pardon before 2027?
Daniel Penny
26%
28 outcomes
0
0
$7.1K
$518.5K
Jan 1, 27
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
No
76%
Trump Cabinet
1
0
$9.6K
$515.1K
Jan 1, 27
US Announces Diesel Export ban by...?
December 31
11%
3 outcomes
4
0
$874
$508.6K
Nov 1, 26
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
No
94%
China
0
0
$6.3K
$504.1K
Jul 1, 27
Who will be arrested before 2027?
John Brennan
21%
24 outcomes
1
0
$1.0K
$502.4K
Jan 1, 27
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by...?
December 31
8%
2 outcomes
0
0
$2.2K
$487.1K
Jan 1, 27
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by...?
December 31, 2026
3%
3 outcomes
0
0
$2.1K
$485.7K
Jan 1, 27
Next Ministerpräsident of Sachsen-Anhalt?
Ulrich Siegmund
74%
12 outcomes
0
0
$3.8K
$472.8K
Jun 1, 27
Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?
December 31
10%
2 outcomes
0
0
$0
$468.8K
Jan 1, 27
SBF released from custody in 2026?
No
98%
Politics
0
0
$0
$468.2K
Jan 1, 27
Will Russia capture Bilytske by...?
December 31
84%
9 outcomes
1
0
$1.9K
$463.8K
Jan 1, 27
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by...?
December 31
4%
2 outcomes
0
0
$0
$462.5K
Jan 1, 27
U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by...?
December 31, 2026
40%
3 outcomes
0
0
$0
$460.6K
Jan 1, 27
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by...?
December 31
5%
2 outcomes
0
0
$0
$452.7K
Jan 1, 27
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
No
97%
World
0
0
$11
$449.2K
Jan 1, 27
Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?
No
72%
Courts
6
0
$147
$446.2K
Feb 1, 27
Ohio Governor Election Winner
Amy Acton (D)
73%
2 outcomes
2
1
$18.3K
$438.0K
Nov 4, 26
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