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Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?

ActiveAI Benchmarks9 outcomesEnds Jan 1, 2027

↑ 1540 leads at 44.8%, ahead of ↑ 1550 (28.0%) and ↑ 1600 (9.3%).

24h volume
$200
Total volume
$224.1K
Whales
0
Fresh wallets
0
Trade on Polymarket ↗
Outcome · 9Chance24hTrade on Polymarket
↑ 1540$6.9K vol44.8%−1.1Buy Yes 44.8¢Buy No 55.3¢
↑ 1550$54.5K vol28.0%−2.0Buy Yes 28.0¢Buy No 72.0¢
↑ 1600$26.8K vol9.3%+0.6Buy Yes 9.3¢Buy No 90.8¢
↑ 1700$9.3K vol4.0%+0.3Buy Yes 4.0¢Buy No 96.0¢
↑ 1650$9.6K vol4.0%-Buy Yes 4.0¢Buy No 96.0¢
↑ 1510$2.9K vol · resolved100.0%+14.4
↑ 1520$61.3K vol · resolved100.0%-
↑ 1530$19.0K vol · resolved100.0%+66.5
↑ 1500$33.8K vol · resolved100.0%+4.8

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.