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Test Match: South Africa vs Australia

ActiveSports3 outcomesEnds Nov 3, 2026

South Africa leads at 44.5%, ahead of Australia (42.5%) and Draw (12.0%).

24h volume
$24.3K
Total volume
$34.6K
Whales
0
Fresh wallets
0
Source: Polymarket ↗
Outcome · 3Chance24h
South Africa$12.0K vol44.5%−3.0
Australia$9.9K vol42.5%−0.5
Draw$12.7K vol12.0%+1.0

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.

Market read

Who leads the Test Match: South Africa vs Australia market on Polymarket?

Polymarket traders give South Africa a 45% chance, ahead of Australia at 43% and Draw at 12%. South Africa has held near 46% since Oct 21. Over the last 24 hours it is down 3.0 points.

Where is the whale money going?

No single bet of $5,000 or more has been tracked on this market yet. $34.6K has been traded in total, $24.3K of it in the last 24 hours.

How does this market resolve?

Trading is scheduled to close on Nov 3, 2026.

Resolution rules from Polymarket

This market refers to the cricket match between South Africa and Australia scheduled for October 27 2026 at 4:00 AM ET in Test Match.

DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins.

If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve to draw.

If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market will remain open until the listed fixture is completed. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned or otherwise is completed without a winner, the market will resolve to draw.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Whales are single buys of $5,000 or more; fresh wallets are first-time accounts betting $500 or more. Prices are Polymarket's own and move with every trade. How we count these.