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CT-04 House Election Margin of Victory

ActiveMidterms10 outcomesEnds Nov 4, 2026

Democrat 35-40% leads at 27.5%, ahead of Democrat 25-30% (20.0%) and Democrat 30-35% (14.0%).

24h volume
$285
Total volume
$21.7K
Whales
0
Fresh wallets
0
Trade on Polymarket ↗
Outcome · 10Chance24hTrade on Polymarket
Democrat 35-40%$7.3K vol27.5%−1.0Buy Yes 27.5¢Buy No 72.5¢
Democrat 25-30%$1.9K vol20.0%−1.0Buy Yes 20.0¢Buy No 80.0¢
Democrat 30-35%$2.4K vol14.0%−5.0Buy Yes 14.0¢Buy No 86.0¢
Democrat 40-45%$4.3K vol7.4%+1.8Buy Yes 7.4¢Buy No 92.5¢
Democrat 20-25%$285 vol5.7%−1.5Buy Yes 5.7¢Buy No 94.3¢
Republican Wins$204 vol4.5%−0.4Buy Yes 4.5¢Buy No 95.5¢
Democrat 50%+$2.7K vol3.9%-Buy Yes 3.9¢Buy No 96.1¢
Democrat 45-50%$158 vol3.5%−2.8Buy Yes 3.5¢Buy No 96.5¢
Democrat 10-20%$121 vol3.0%−0.1Buy Yes 3.0¢Buy No 97.0¢
Democrat 0-10%$2.3K vol0.95%+0.4Buy Yes 0.9¢Buy No 99.0¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.