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D4vd released from custody in 2026?

D4vd released from custody in 2026?

ActiveCultureEnds Jan 1, 2027

The market prices Yes at 6.5% and No at 93.5%.

24h volume
$0
Total volume
$7.8K
Whales
0
Fresh wallets
0
Source: Polymarket ↗
Chance
Yes 6.5%No 93.5%Yes −0.5% 1W
OutcomeChance
7%−1.5%
94%+1.5%

Market read

What are the odds on "D4vd released from custody in 2026"?

Polymarket traders put the chance of Yes at 94%. Over the last 24 hours it is up 1.5 points.

Where is the whale money going?

No single bet of $5,000 or more has been tracked on this market yet. $7.8K has been traded in total.

How does this market resolve?

Trading is scheduled to close on Jan 1, 2027.

Resolution rules from Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if D4vd (a.k.a. David Anthony Burke) is released from custody between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If D4vd is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".

If D4vd is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".

Transporting D4vd to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".

Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Whales are single buys of $5,000 or more; fresh wallets are first-time accounts betting $500 or more. Prices are Polymarket's own and move with every trade. How we count these.