Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?

ActivePolitics5 outcomesEnds Oct 31, 2026

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez leads at 41.5%, ahead of Jon Ossoff (36.0%) and Gavin Newsom (15.5%).

Outcome · 5Chance24hTrade on Polymarket

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez$17.6K vol41.5%+2.0Buy Yes 41.5¢Buy No 58.5¢

Jon Ossoff$39.4K vol36.0%−4.5Buy Yes 36.0¢Buy No 64.0¢

Gavin Newsom$16.6K vol15.5%-Buy Yes 15.5¢Buy No 84.5¢

Kamala Harris$2.0K vol0.60%+0.1Buy Yes 0.6¢Buy No 99.4¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.

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