Elon Musk # tweets October 20 - October 27, 2026?
320-339 leads at 30.5%, ahead of 340-359 (23.8%) and 300-319 (23.0%).
- 24h volume
- $312.4K
- Total volume
- $1.1M
- Whales
- 3
- Fresh wallets
- 0
320-339$53.7K vol30.5%+9.0340-359$72.8K vol23.8%+13.6300-319$46.4K vol23.0%−3.0360-379$40.2K vol13.7%+7.0380-399$44.4K vol4.8%+1.1280-299$62.8K vol3.6%−15.3400-419$41.3K vol1.8%−0.7420-439$36.7K vol0.55%−0.6260-279$88.8K vol0.25%−7.8440-459$34.1K vol0.25%−0.4460-479$43.6K vol0.10%−0.3240-259$90.8K vol0.05%−2.0480-499$44.7K vol0.05%−0.1500-519$33.7K vol0.05%-520-539$23.8K vol0.05%-540-559$20.3K vol0.05%-560-579$19.2K vol0.05%-580+$28.9K vol0.05%-<20$10 vol · resolved0.0%-20-39$10 vol · resolved0.0%-40-59<$1 vol · resolved0.0%-60-79$1.5K vol · resolved0.0%-80-99$24.8K vol · resolved0.0%-100-119$18.8K vol · resolved0.0%-120-139$17.8K vol · resolved0.0%-140-159$23.6K vol · resolved0.0%-160-179$38.2K vol · resolved0.0%-180-199$53.8K vol · resolved0.0%−0.2200-219$67.5K vol · resolved0.0%−0.2220-239$72.6K vol · resolved0.0%−0.4Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.
Market read
Who leads the Elon Musk # tweets October 20 - October 27, 2026 market on Polymarket?
Polymarket traders give 320-339 a 31% chance, ahead of 340-359 at 24% and 300-319 at 23%. 30 outcomes are listed, 12 of them already resolved. 320-339 has risen from 8% on Oct 19 to 41% now. Over the last 24 hours it is up 9.0 points.
Where is the whale money going?
Our tracker has logged 5 whale bets ($5,000 or more) on this market from 3 wallets since Oct 17, $47.8K in all. The most whale money went to No on 480-499: $12.9K, 27% of the total. The largest single bet was $12.9K on No on 480-499 at 100¢ by @ElonSpam on Oct 23. $1.1M has been traded in total, $312.4K of it in the last 24 hours.
How does this market resolve?
Trading is scheduled to close on Oct 27, 2026.
Resolution rules from Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 20 12:00 PM ET to October 27, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Whales are single buys of $5,000 or more; fresh wallets are first-time accounts betting $500 or more. Prices are Polymarket's own and move with every trade. How we count these.