Federal District Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

ActiveWorld6 outcomesEnds Oct 26, 2026

Celina 20-25% leads at 29.0%, ahead of Celina 25%+ (28.0%) and Celina 15-20% (23.0%).

Outcome · 6Chance24hTrade on Polymarket

Celina 20-25%$2.9K vol29.0%−18.5Buy Yes 29.0¢Buy No 71.0¢

Celina 25%+$804 vol28.0%+2.5Buy Yes 28.0¢Buy No 72.0¢

Celina 10-15%$1.0K vol18.6%+13.0Buy Yes 18.6¢Buy No 81.3¢

Celina <10%$509 vol3.6%−1.5Buy Yes 3.6¢Buy No 96.4¢

Grass wins$422 vol0.15%−0.2Buy Yes 0.1¢Buy No 99.8¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.

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