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FL-12 House Election Margin of Victory

ActiveMidterms8 outcomesEnds Nov 3, 2026

Republican 20-25% leads at 36.5%, ahead of Republican 15-20% (36.5%) and Republican 25%+ (36.0%).

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Trade on Polymarket ↗
Outcome · 8Chance24hTrade on Polymarket
Republican 20-25%36.5%−2.0Buy Yes 36.5¢Buy No 63.5¢
Republican 15-20%36.5%−2.0Buy Yes 36.5¢Buy No 63.5¢
Republican 25%+36.0%−2.5Buy Yes 36.0¢Buy No 64.0¢
Democrat 0-5%35.0%−3.5Buy Yes 35.0¢Buy No 65.0¢
Republican 0-5%34.5%−4.0Buy Yes 34.5¢Buy No 65.5¢
Republican 10-15%33.0%−4.5Buy Yes 33.0¢Buy No 67.0¢
Republican 5-10%33.0%−4.5Buy Yes 33.0¢Buy No 67.0¢
Democrat 5%+32.5%−6.5Buy Yes 32.5¢Buy No 67.5¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.