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Hawaii Governor Election Margin of Victory

ActiveMidterms10 outcomesEnds Nov 4, 2026

Democrat 40-45% leads at 21.0%, ahead of Democrat 25-30% (19.0%) and Democrat 35-40% (19.0%).

24h volume
$20
Total volume
$19.8K
Whales
0
Fresh wallets
0
Trade on Polymarket ↗
Outcome · 10Chance24hTrade on Polymarket
Democrat 40-45%$5.4K vol21.0%+4.0Buy Yes 21.0¢Buy No 79.0¢
Democrat 25-30%$1.3K vol19.0%+1.0Buy Yes 19.0¢Buy No 81.0¢
Democrat 35-40%$3.5K vol19.0%+1.0Buy Yes 19.0¢Buy No 81.0¢
Democrat 45%+$3.4K vol17.3%+2.8Buy Yes 17.3¢Buy No 82.8¢
Democrat 30-35%$2.6K vol16.5%−3.5Buy Yes 16.5¢Buy No 83.5¢
Democrat 20-25%$810 vol0.25%-Buy Yes 0.3¢Buy No 99.8¢
Republican Wins$634 vol0.20%−0.1Buy Yes 0.2¢Buy No 99.8¢
Democrat 0-10%$529 vol0.15%-Buy Yes 0.1¢Buy No 99.8¢
Democrat 10-15%$795 vol0.05%-Buy Yes 0.1¢Buy No 100.0¢
Democrat 15-20%$732 vol0.05%-Buy Yes 0.1¢Buy No 100.0¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.