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How many Democratic House Incumbents will not win their Primary?

ActiveUS Election6 outcomes

10-12 leads at 93.5%, ahead of 13-15 (6.9%).

24h volume
$611
Total volume
$64.0K
Whales
0
Fresh wallets
0
Trade on Polymarket ↗
Outcome · 6Chance24hTrade on Polymarket
10-12$19.0K vol93.5%+1.4Buy Yes 93.5¢Buy No 6.5¢
13-15$7.9K vol6.9%+1.3Buy Yes 6.9¢Buy No 93.2¢
<3$2.2K vol · resolved0.0%-
4-6$5.6K vol · resolved0.0%−0.2
7-9$16.6K vol · resolved0.0%−2.7
>15$12.7K vol · resolved0.0%−1.6

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.