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How many Republican House Incumbents will not win their Primary?

ActiveTrump6 outcomes

4-6 leads at 95.8%, ahead of 7-9 (2.9%).

24h volume: $65
Total volume: $104.7K
Whales: 0
Fresh wallets: 0

Trade on Polymarket ↗

Outcome · 6Chance24hTrade on Polymarket

4-6$36.2K vol95.8%+1.6Buy Yes 95.8¢Buy No 4.3¢

7-9$7.9K vol2.9%−0.7Buy Yes 2.9¢Buy No 97.1¢

≤3$38.8K vol · resolved0.0%-

10-12$8.9K vol · resolved0.0%−1.5

13-15$6.5K vol · resolved0.0%−0.7

>15$6.4K vol · resolved0.0%−1.4

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.