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IA-01 House Election Margin of Victory

ActiveMidterms10 outcomesEnds Nov 4, 2026

Democrat 12-15% leads at 20.4%, ahead of Democrat 6-9% (17.8%) and Democrat 9-12% (17.6%).

24h volume: $159
Total volume: $14.9K
Whales: 0
Fresh wallets: 0

Trade on Polymarket ↗

Outcome · 10Chance24hTrade on Polymarket

Democrat 12-15%$343 vol20.4%+1.1Buy Yes 20.4¢Buy No 79.5¢

Democrat 6-9%$1.3K vol17.8%−1.3Buy Yes 17.8¢Buy No 82.3¢

Democrat 9-12%$3.2K vol17.6%−1.7Buy Yes 17.6¢Buy No 82.4¢

Democrat 3-6%$3.3K vol14.5%−2.0Buy Yes 14.5¢Buy No 85.5¢

Democrat 0-3%$1.7K vol11.5%-Buy Yes 11.5¢Buy No 88.5¢

Republican 0-3%$2.3K vol9.8%−1.0Buy Yes 9.8¢Buy No 90.2¢

Democrat 15-18%$288 vol4.5%−6.6Buy Yes 4.5¢Buy No 95.5¢

Republican 3-6%$968 vol4.3%+2.8Buy Yes 4.3¢Buy No 95.8¢

Democrat 18%+$701 vol3.0%−0.8Buy Yes 3.0¢Buy No 97.0¢

Republican 6%+$902 vol1.1%−1.8Buy Yes 1.1¢Buy No 99.0¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.