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IA-02 House Election Margin of Victory

ActiveMidterms10 outcomesEnds Nov 4, 2026

Democrat 0-3% leads at 21.9%, ahead of Republican 0-3% (17.0%) and Republican 6-9% (13.0%).

24h volume
$0
Total volume
$15.1K
Whales
0
Fresh wallets
0
Trade on Polymarket ↗
Outcome · 10Chance24hTrade on Polymarket
Democrat 0-3%$3.0K vol21.9%+0.1Buy Yes 21.9¢Buy No 78.2¢
Republican 0-3%$1.6K vol17.0%-Buy Yes 17.0¢Buy No 83.0¢
Republican 6-9%$2.2K vol13.0%-Buy Yes 13.0¢Buy No 87.0¢
Democrat 3-6%$3.4K vol12.0%-Buy Yes 12.0¢Buy No 88.0¢
Republican 3-6%$1.3K vol11.5%-Buy Yes 11.5¢Buy No 88.5¢
Democrat 6-9%$557 vol9.0%-Buy Yes 9.0¢Buy No 91.0¢
Democrat 12%+$501 vol5.0%-Buy Yes 5.0¢Buy No 95.0¢
Democrat 9-12%$1.3K vol3.6%−0.4Buy Yes 3.6¢Buy No 96.3¢
Republican 9-12%$921 vol2.7%-Buy Yes 2.7¢Buy No 97.3¢
Republican 12%+$400 vol0.20%-Buy Yes 0.2¢Buy No 99.8¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.