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IA-04 House Election Margin of Victory

ActiveMidterms9 outcomesEnds Nov 4, 2026

Republican 20-25% leads at 28.0%, ahead of Republican 10-15% (23.4%) and Republican 15-20% (22.0%).

24h volume
$90
Total volume
$19.1K
Whales
0
Fresh wallets
0
Trade on Polymarket ↗
Outcome · 9Chance24hTrade on Polymarket
Republican 20-25%$5.6K vol28.0%+0.5Buy Yes 28.0¢Buy No 72.0¢
Republican 10-15%$3.2K vol23.4%−0.1Buy Yes 23.4¢Buy No 76.5¢
Republican 15-20%$4.8K vol22.0%−7.0Buy Yes 22.0¢Buy No 78.0¢
Republican 5-10%$413 vol5.1%-Buy Yes 5.1¢Buy No 94.8¢
Republican 25-30%$3.6K vol5.0%−3.9Buy Yes 5.0¢Buy No 95.0¢
Republican 35%+$427 vol4.5%+0.1Buy Yes 4.5¢Buy No 95.5¢
Republican 30-35%$436 vol4.0%+0.1Buy Yes 4.0¢Buy No 96.0¢
Republican 0-5%$258 vol3.1%−0.4Buy Yes 3.1¢Buy No 96.9¢
Democrat Wins$405 vol1.5%-Buy Yes 1.5¢Buy No 98.5¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.