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IL-04 House Election Margin of Victory

ActiveMidterms10 outcomesEnds Nov 4, 2026

Democrat 35-40% leads at 25.5%, ahead of Democrat 30-35% (24.0%) and Democrat 40-45% (18.7%).

24h volume
$0
Total volume
$16.6K
Whales
0
Fresh wallets
0
Trade on Polymarket ↗
Outcome · 10Chance24hTrade on Polymarket
Democrat 35-40%$5.3K vol25.5%-Buy Yes 25.5¢Buy No 74.5¢
Democrat 30-35%$2.7K vol24.0%+5.5Buy Yes 24.0¢Buy No 76.0¢
Democrat 40-45%$3.2K vol18.7%+0.4Buy Yes 18.7¢Buy No 81.3¢
Democrat 45-50%$695 vol13.7%−0.1Buy Yes 13.7¢Buy No 86.3¢
Democrat 55%+$684 vol9.9%+0.1Buy Yes 9.9¢Buy No 90.1¢
Democrat 15-25%$762 vol5.3%-Buy Yes 5.3¢Buy No 94.7¢
Democrat 25-30%$860 vol3.9%−1.5Buy Yes 3.9¢Buy No 96.2¢
Democrat 50-55%$595 vol3.4%-Buy Yes 3.4¢Buy No 96.7¢
Democrat 0-15%$1.3K vol0.65%−0.1Buy Yes 0.7¢Buy No 99.3¢
Republican Wins$441 vol0.30%-Buy Yes 0.3¢Buy No 99.7¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.