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IL-09 House Election Margin of Victory

ActiveMidterms10 outcomesEnds Nov 4, 2026

Democrat 45-50% leads at 26.4%, ahead of Democrat 40-45% (24.6%) and Democrat 55-60% (24.5%).

24h volume
$30
Total volume
$11.1K
Whales
0
Fresh wallets
0
Trade on Polymarket ↗
Outcome · 10Chance24hTrade on Polymarket
Democrat 45-50%$2.1K vol26.4%−1.1Buy Yes 26.4¢Buy No 73.6¢
Democrat 40-45%$1.9K vol24.6%+0.7Buy Yes 24.6¢Buy No 75.4¢
Democrat 55-60%$654 vol24.5%+6.0Buy Yes 24.5¢Buy No 75.5¢
Democrat 50-55%$1.6K vol19.5%+2.0Buy Yes 19.5¢Buy No 80.5¢
Democrat 60%+$532 vol8.8%+4.0Buy Yes 8.8¢Buy No 91.3¢
Democrat 35-40%$608 vol8.1%−0.3Buy Yes 8.1¢Buy No 92.0¢
Democrat 30-35%$503 vol7.2%+1.8Buy Yes 7.2¢Buy No 92.8¢
Democrat 0-20%$1.3K vol4.2%+0.4Buy Yes 4.2¢Buy No 95.8¢
Democrat 20-30%$1.4K vol3.8%−0.4Buy Yes 3.8¢Buy No 96.3¢
Republican Wins$538 vol1.5%−0.1Buy Yes 1.5¢Buy No 98.5¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.