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IL-16 House Election Margin of Victory

ActiveMidterms8 outcomesEnds Nov 4, 2026

Republican 15-20% leads at 26.0%, ahead of Republican 10-15% (24.5%) and Republican 20-25% (20.0%).

24h volume
$62
Total volume
$15.2K
Whales
0
Fresh wallets
0
Trade on Polymarket ↗
Outcome · 8Chance24hTrade on Polymarket
Republican 15-20%$4.0K vol26.0%−1.0Buy Yes 26.0¢Buy No 74.0¢
Republican 10-15%$2.5K vol24.5%−0.5Buy Yes 24.5¢Buy No 75.5¢
Republican 20-25%$3.1K vol20.0%-Buy Yes 20.0¢Buy No 80.0¢
Republican 5-10%$2.0K vol13.5%−3.1Buy Yes 13.5¢Buy No 86.5¢
Republican 30%+$881 vol11.9%+1.0Buy Yes 11.9¢Buy No 88.0¢
Republican 25-30%$796 vol11.8%+1.2Buy Yes 11.8¢Buy No 88.2¢
Republican 0-5%$1.4K vol3.2%+0.4Buy Yes 3.2¢Buy No 96.8¢
Democrat Wins$632 vol0.25%-Buy Yes 0.3¢Buy No 99.8¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.