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Keith Rabois Combo: Republicans win 5+ (TX, IA, KS, AK, MI, OH)

Keith Rabois Combo: Republicans win 5+ (TX, IA, KS, AK, MI, OH)

ActiveMidtermsEnds Nov 4, 2026

The market prices Yes at 0.50% and No at 99.5%.

24h volume
$20
Total volume
$16.4K
Whales
0
Fresh wallets
0
Source: Polymarket ↗
Chance
Yes 0.50%No 99.5%Yes −50.5% 1W
OutcomeChance
<1%−0.1%
>99%+0.1%

Market read

What are the odds on "Keith Rabois Combo: Republicans win 5+ (TX, IA, KS, AK, MI, OH)"?

Polymarket traders put the chance of Yes at over 99%.

Where is the whale money going?

No single bet of $5,000 or more has been tracked on this market yet. $16.4K has been traded in total, $20 of it in the last 24 hours.

How does this market resolve?

Trading is scheduled to close on Nov 4, 2026.

Resolution rules from Polymarket

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a Republican candidate wins at least five of the following 2026 midterm Senate elections.

This market will resolve to “No” if a Republican candidate wins four or fewer of the following 2026 midterm Senate elections.

The relevant elections are the elections for US senator from Texas, Iowa, Kansas, Alaska, Michigan and Ohio.

A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.

Whales are single buys of $5,000 or more; fresh wallets are first-time accounts betting $500 or more. Prices are Polymarket's own and move with every trade. How we count these.