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KY-04 House Election Margin of Victory

ActiveMidterms10 outcomesEnds Nov 4, 2026

Republican 25-30% leads at 23.4%, ahead of Republican 20-25% (20.6%) and Republican 15-20% (14.1%).

24h volume
$1.9K
Total volume
$30.5K
Whales
0
Fresh wallets
0
Trade on Polymarket ↗
Outcome · 10Chance24hTrade on Polymarket
Republican 25-30%$7.8K vol23.4%−3.7Buy Yes 23.4¢Buy No 76.5¢
Republican 20-25%$10.2K vol20.6%−10.3Buy Yes 20.6¢Buy No 79.3¢
Republican 15-20%$2.9K vol14.1%+1.6Buy Yes 14.1¢Buy No 86.0¢
Republican 5-15%$2.3K vol8.2%−8.5Buy Yes 8.2¢Buy No 91.8¢
Republican 30-35%$2.8K vol5.8%−0.5Buy Yes 5.8¢Buy No 94.3¢
Republican 35-40%$1.5K vol5.5%−1.2Buy Yes 5.5¢Buy No 94.5¢
Republican 45%+$701 vol3.4%−0.1Buy Yes 3.4¢Buy No 96.7¢
Republican 0-5%$587 vol2.3%−0.9Buy Yes 2.3¢Buy No 97.7¢
Republican 40-45%$995 vol0.90%-Buy Yes 0.9¢Buy No 99.1¢
Democrat Wins$768 vol0.55%-Buy Yes 0.5¢Buy No 99.5¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.