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LA Mayoral Election: Margin of Victory?

ActiveLA Mayor12 outcomesEnds Nov 4, 2026

Raman 0-4% leads at 21.5%, ahead of Bass 0-4% (19.7%) and Raman 4-8% (18.0%).

24h volume
$27
Total volume
$19.4K
Whales
0
Fresh wallets
0
Trade on Polymarket ↗
Outcome · 12Chance24hTrade on Polymarket
Raman 0-4%$5.5K vol21.5%+0.5Buy Yes 21.5¢Buy No 78.5¢
Bass 0-4%$1.2K vol19.7%+3.9Buy Yes 19.7¢Buy No 80.3¢
Raman 4-8%$3.0K vol18.0%−2.5Buy Yes 18.0¢Buy No 82.0¢
Raman 8-12%$2.1K vol17.5%-Buy Yes 17.5¢Buy No 82.5¢
Raman 12-16%$1.1K vol10.5%−0.5Buy Yes 10.5¢Buy No 89.5¢
Bass 8-12%$1.1K vol7.4%+2.5Buy Yes 7.4¢Buy No 92.5¢
Bass 4-8%$1.1K vol6.9%−0.3Buy Yes 6.9¢Buy No 93.2¢
Raman 16-20%$615 vol5.5%-Buy Yes 5.5¢Buy No 94.5¢
Raman 20+%$1.4K vol4.6%-Buy Yes 4.6¢Buy No 95.4¢
Bass 12-16%$695 vol3.2%−0.7Buy Yes 3.2¢Buy No 96.8¢
Bass 16-20%$957 vol1.1%-Buy Yes 1.1¢Buy No 99.0¢
Bass 20+%$525 vol0.55%-Buy Yes 0.5¢Buy No 99.5¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.